The Joe Biden-Kamala Harris ticket is ahead of the Donald Trump-Mike Pence ticket by a 51-46 percent margin. That 5-percentage point advantage sits right at the margin of sampling error of the latest Fox News survey, taken after the Democratic and Republican national conventions.
Majorities of likely voters have a positive opinion of Biden and trust him over Trump on coronavirus, Supreme Court nominations, and uniting the country — and that nudges the former vice president just over 50 percent in the presidential race.
The national survey, released Sunday, is the first Fox News has conducted among likely voters this year and the first time it included running mates in the vote preference question.
Both tickets have secured the backing of their key voting blocs. Biden leads among women, suburban voters, seniors, Millennials, Blacks, and Hispanics. Trump is ahead among men, Whites, rural voters, veterans, White Catholics, and Gen Xers.
“Despite the often tumultuous events of the day, campaigns are often about partisan homecoming. Trump may be benefiting from this dynamic,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “It looks like Republican-leaning undecided voters have come around, both in the ballot and his job ratings.”
Most of those planning to cast a mail-in ballot support Biden (71 percent), while a majority of those planning to vote in person favors Trump (58 percent).
Likely voters trust Trump over Biden on just one issue: the economy, by 5 points. Biden is favored on racial inequality (+12), coronavirus (+8), health care (+8), Supreme Court nominations (+7), and immigration (+7 points).
Voters also trust Biden over Trump on “policing and criminal justice” (+7), while the two are rated about evenly on “maintaining law and order” (Biden +2)…Read more>>